tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:00 ORD → 07:30 DFW
    AA 760 · American · 2h 30m · 89% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:49 DFW → 11:40 ELP
    AA 4078 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 51m · 84% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 40mORD 05:00 to ELP 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.