tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sioux Falls via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:00 ORD → 07:30 DFW
    AA 760 · American · 2h 30m · 89% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 DFW → 12:10 FSD
    AA 6194 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 10mORD 05:00 to FSD 12:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.