tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Ontario via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 11:40 SEA → 17:50 DFW
    AA 767 · American · 4h 10m · 68% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 DFW → 19:59 ONT
    AA 2236 · American · 3h 09m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 19mSEA 11:40 to ONT 19:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.