tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 42%

  1. 11:40 SEA → 17:50 DFW
    AA 767 · American · 4h 10m · 68% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:53 DFW → 22:59 DCA
    AA 2752 · American · 3h 07m · 62% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 20mSEA 11:40 to DCA 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.