tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 11:40 SEA → 17:50 DFW
    AA 767 · American · 4h 10m · 68% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:49 DFW → 19:59 TUL
    AA 3715 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 10m · 60% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 19mSEA 11:40 to TUL 19:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.