tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:02 LAS → 19:03 DFW
    AA 777 · American · 3h 01m · 73% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 DFW → 21:12 TUL
    AA 1514 · American · 1h 08m · 60% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 10mLAS 14:02 to TUL 21:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.