tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:02 LAS → 19:03 DFW
    AA 777 · American · 3h 01m · 73% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DFW → 23:59 DCA
    AA 2077 · American · 2h 59m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 57mLAS 14:02 to DCA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.