tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Appleton via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 14:02 LAS → 19:03 DFW
    AA 777 · American · 3h 01m · 73% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 DFW → 22:41 ATW
    AA 4188 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 34m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 39mLAS 14:02 to ATW 22:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.