tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Los Angeles: arrives on time 59%

  1. 14:25 MIA → 16:52 LAX
    AA 778 · American · 5h 27m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:49 LAX → 23:17 XNA
    AA 6187 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 28m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 52mMIA 14:25 to XNA 23:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.