tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Buffalo via Charlotte: arrives on time 48%

  1. 13:49 PHL → 15:45 CLT
    AA 793 · American · 1h 56m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:50 CLT → 18:43 BUF
    AA 1614 · American · 1h 53m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 54mPHL 13:49 to BUF 18:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.