tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → San Juan via Philadelphia: arrives on time 25%

  1. 15:00 MIA → 17:57 PHL
    AA 797 · American · 2h 57m · 55% on time, 26.7% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 PHL → 22:57 SJU
    AA 3065 · American · 4h 07m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (26.7% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 57mMIA 15:00 to SJU 22:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.