tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 06:40 MSN → 09:13 DFW
    AA 797 · American · 2h 33m · 77% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DFW → 10:51 PHX
    AA 336 · American · 2h 36m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 11mMSN 06:40 to PHX 10:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.