tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte Amalie → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 57%

  1. 11:52 STT → 15:54 CLT
    AA 797 · American · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:04 CLT → 19:33 IAD
    AA 2953 · American · 1h 29m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 41mSTT 11:52 to IAD 19:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.