tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Sarasota/Bradenton via Charlotte: arrives on time 30%

  1. 15:23 DCA → 17:10 CLT
    AA 804 · American · 1h 47m · 48% on time, 13.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:49 CLT → 20:48 SRQ
    AA 2094 · American · 1h 56m · 53% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (13.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 22mDCA 15:23 to SRQ 20:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.