tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Manchester via Charlotte: arrives on time 50%

  1. 15:23 DCA → 17:10 CLT
    AA 804 · American · 1h 47m · 48% on time, 13.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:33 CLT → 22:51 MHT
    AA 5033 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 18m · 68% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 158 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (13.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 28mDCA 15:23 to MHT 22:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.