tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dayton via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 15:23 DCA → 17:10 CLT
    AA 804 · American · 1h 47m · 48% on time, 13.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 CLT → 22:09 DAY
    AA 5174 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 40m · 63% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (13.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 46mDCA 15:23 to DAY 22:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.