tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Asheville via Charlotte: arrives on time 23%

  1. 15:23 DCA → 17:10 CLT
    AA 804 · American · 1h 47m · 48% on time, 13.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 CLT → 19:34 AVL
    AA 5792 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 09m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (13.8% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip4h 11mDCA 15:23 to AVL 19:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.