tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 13:07 SAN → 19:54 ORD
    AA 811 · American · 4h 47m · 74% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 ORD → 00:51 IND +1 day
    AA 4363 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 21m · 77% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 44mSAN 13:07 to IND 00:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.