tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Spokane: arrives on time 82%

  1. 11:05 ORD → 13:11 GEG
    AA 814 · American · 4h 09m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Spokane (GEG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:21 GEG → 18:45 SFO
    AS 3070 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 40mORD 11:05 to SFO 18:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.