tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Portland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 08:30 PHL → 11:24 LAX
    AA 824 · American · 5h 48m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:27 LAX → 16:47 PDX
    AS 1315 · Alaska · 2h 20m · 92% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 17mPHL 08:30 to PDX 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.