tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:30 PHL → 11:24 LAX
    AA 824 · American · 5h 48m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:11 LAX → 15:11 SAN
    DL 4001 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 41mPHL 08:30 to SAN 15:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.