tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:50 TUS → 06:44 PHX
    AA 842 · American · 54m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 PHX → 16:12 ORD
    AA 2252 · American · 3h 57m · 78% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Tucson). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 22mTUS 05:50 to ORD 16:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.