tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Providence via Charlotte: arrives on time 48%

  1. 13:55 BWI → 15:32 CLT
    AA 846 · American · 1h 37m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 CLT → 18:30 PVD
    AA 2338 · American · 2h 10m · 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 35mBWI 13:55 to PVD 18:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.