tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Rochester via Charlotte: arrives on time 39%

  1. 13:55 BWI → 15:32 CLT
    AA 846 · American · 1h 37m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:19 CLT → 18:15 ROC
    AA 2424 · American · 1h 52m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 16mBWI 13:55 to ROC 18:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.