tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Honolulu via Kahului: arrives on time 98%

  1. 08:30 PHX → 12:05 OGG
    AA 847 · American · 6h 31m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:45 OGG → 16:30 HNL
    WN 3096 · Southwest · 45m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time98%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip11h 00mPHX 08:30 to HNL 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.