tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 57%

  1. 22:54 OGG → 07:37 PHX
    AA 848 · American · 5h 43m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 PHX → 13:05 DFW +1 day
    AA 2719 · American · 2h 35m · 87% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 5 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 11mOGG 22:54 to DFW 13:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.