tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 88%

  1. 23:35 PHX → 06:35 CLT
    AA 849 · American · 4h 00m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:09 CLT → 11:57 MCO +1 day
    AA 2074 · American · 1h 48m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 169 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 22mPHX 23:35 to MCO 11:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.