tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Memphis via Charlotte: arrives on time 86%

  1. 23:35 PHX → 06:35 CLT
    AA 849 · American · 4h 00m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 CLT → 10:00 MEM +1 day
    AA 2110 · American · 1h 50m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 25mPHX 23:35 to MEM 10:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.