tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 82%

  1. 23:35 PHX → 06:35 CLT
    AA 849 · American · 4h 00m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:15 CLT → 11:04 TPA +1 day
    AA 2828 · American · 1h 49m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 29mPHX 23:35 to TPA 11:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.