tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 64%

  1. 07:10 SEA → 15:22 CLT
    AA 854 · American · 5h 12m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 54m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 CLT → 21:59 TPA
    AA 2022 · American · 1h 43m · 68% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 11h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 249 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 54m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip11h 49mSEA 07:10 to TPA 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.