tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tulsa via Charlotte: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:10 SEA → 15:22 CLT
    AA 854 · American · 5h 12m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:24 CLT → 19:58 TUL
    AA 2662 · American · 2h 35m · 72% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip10h 49mSEA 07:10 to TUL 19:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.