tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Detroit via Charlotte: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:10 STL → 08:03 CLT
    AA 858 · American · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 CLT → 13:01 DTW
    AA 1781 · American · 1h 46m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 51mSTL 05:10 to DTW 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.