tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:10 STL → 08:03 CLT
    AA 858 · American · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:27 CLT → 11:55 IAD
    UA 4012 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 28m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 45mSTL 05:10 to IAD 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.