tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Buffalo via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 14:45 BNA → 17:54 PHL
    AA 868 · American · 2h 09m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 26m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 PHL → 23:53 BUF
    AA 5911 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 33m · 82% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 221 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 26m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 08mBNA 14:45 to BUF 23:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.