tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:19 MSP → 10:00 CLT
    AA 894 · American · 2h 41m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 CLT → 12:38 IAD
    AA 5220 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 19mMSP 06:19 to IAD 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.