tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Greensboro via Philadelphia: arrives on time 55%

  1. 18:12 MIA → 21:10 PHL
    AA 922 · American · 2h 58m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 PHL → 23:58 GSO
    AA 6012 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 48m · 88% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 46mMIA 18:12 to GSO 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.