tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Providence via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:30 MCO → 08:36 ORD
    AA 938 · American · 3h 06m · 91% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 ORD → 13:01 PVD
    AA 3453 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 97% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip6h 31mMCO 06:30 to PVD 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.