tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:30 MCO → 08:36 ORD
    AA 938 · American · 3h 06m · 91% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ORD → 11:44 TUL
    AA 4135 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 04m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 14mMCO 06:30 to TUL 11:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.