tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:00 MEM → 07:46 CLT
    AA 978 · American · 1h 46m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 CLT → 12:43 PHL
    AA 2498 · American · 1h 43m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 43mMEM 05:00 to PHL 12:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.