tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:00 MEM → 07:46 CLT
    AA 978 · American · 1h 46m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:10 CLT → 13:16 EWR
    UA 3448 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 90% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 16mMEM 05:00 to EWR 13:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.