tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 08:00 DCA → 10:58 SEA
    AS 1 · Alaska · 5h 58m · 82% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:49 SEA → 16:41 SNA
    AS 773 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 11h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip11h 41mDCA 08:00 to SNA 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.