tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 08:00 DCA → 10:58 SEA
    AS 1 · Alaska · 5h 58m · 82% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:45 SEA → 17:04 SJC
    DL 3897 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip12h 04mDCA 08:00 to SJC 17:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.