tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 08:00 DCA → 10:58 SEA
    AS 1 · Alaska · 5h 58m · 82% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 SEA → 13:06 PDX
    AS 2181 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip8h 06mDCA 08:00 to PDX 13:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.