tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Sacramento via Honolulu: arrives on time 90%

  1. 07:15 OGG → 07:54 HNL
    AS 1025 · Alaska · 39m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:00 HNL → 19:10 SMF
    WN 1942 · Southwest · 5h 10m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip8h 55mOGG 07:15 to SMF 19:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.