tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Sacramento via Kahului: arrives on time 94%

  1. 07:00 HNL → 07:40 OGG
    AS 1026 · Alaska · 40m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:50 OGG → 18:50 SMF
    WN 3105 · Southwest · 5h 00m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 50mHNL 07:00 to SMF 18:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.