tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Honolulu via Kailua/Kona: arrives on time 52%

  1. 13:00 OGG → 13:36 KOA
    AS 1030 · Alaska · 36m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Kailua/Kona (KOA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:34 KOA → 15:23 HNL
    AS 1097 · Alaska · 49m · 71% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 2h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip2h 23mOGG 13:00 to HNL 15:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.