tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Seattle via Honolulu: arrives on time 54%

  1. 09:04 LIH → 09:42 HNL
    AS 1034 · Alaska · 37m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 HNL → 21:34 SEA
    AS 822 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 56% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip9h 30mLIH 09:04 to SEA 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.