tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Sacramento via Kahului: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:26 HNL → 08:06 OGG
    AS 1036 · Alaska · 40m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:27 OGG → 19:27 SMF
    AS 960 · Alaska · 5h 00m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 01mHNL 07:26 to SMF 19:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.