tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 53%

  1. 09:44 KOA → 10:32 HNL
    AS 1037 · Alaska · 48m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:26 HNL → 12:09 LIH
    AS 1063 · Alaska · 43m · 82% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip2h 25mKOA 09:44 to LIH 12:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.