tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Francisco via Honolulu: arrives on time 62%

  1. 09:44 KOA → 10:32 HNL
    AS 1037 · Alaska · 48m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 HNL → 20:28 SFO
    AS 812 · Alaska · 5h 08m · 66% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 44mKOA 09:44 to SFO 20:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.